Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.033264 0.038469 0.044235 0.051097 0.059045 0.067967 0.078751
2026-01-25 0.025648 0.032630 0.041138 0.052277 0.066501 0.084089 0.107541
2026-02-01 0.020049 0.027425 0.037085 0.050691 0.069411 0.094340 0.130191
2026-02-08 0.016692 0.024225 0.034696 0.050353 0.073259 0.105685 0.155330
2026-02-15 0.014202 0.021687 0.032633 0.049867 0.076451 0.116124 0.180247
2026-02-22 0.012608 0.020145 0.031678 0.050692 0.081443 0.129558 0.211208
2026-03-01 0.011102 0.018479 0.030241 0.050457 0.084589 0.140338 0.239230
2026-03-08 0.009658 0.016688 0.028327 0.049110 0.085613 0.147639 0.262254
2026-03-15 0.008437 0.015095 0.026508 0.047629 0.086112 0.153962 0.284216
2026-03-22 0.007760 0.014351 0.026031 0.048392 0.090590 0.167661 0.321125
2026-03-29 0.007100 0.013546 0.025332 0.048632 0.094088 0.179922 0.356860
2026-04-05 0.006497 0.012768 0.024581 0.048656 0.097131 0.191620 0.392944
2026-04-12 0.006027 0.012199 0.024176 0.049339 0.101631 0.206855 0.438605
2026-04-19 0.005670 0.011811 0.024078 0.050628 0.107529 0.225646 0.494372
2026-04-26 0.005072 0.010852 0.022716 0.049123 0.107381 0.231904 0.523999
2026-05-03 0.004654 0.010224 0.021960 0.048802 0.109719 0.243698 0.567504
2026-05-10 0.004271 0.009621 0.021184 0.048332 0.111650 0.254798 0.610903
2026-05-17 0.004028 0.009301 0.020985 0.049131 0.116557 0.273179 0.674031
2026-05-24 0.003732 0.008824 0.020377 0.048904 0.119019 0.286176 0.725834
2026-05-31 0.003392 0.008202 0.019369 0.047599 0.118712 0.292523 0.761820
2026-06-07 0.003078 0.007608 0.018359 0.046164 0.117897 0.297518 0.795004
2026-06-14 0.002926 0.007391 0.018226 0.046903 0.122683 0.317121 0.869670
2026-06-21 0.002756 0.007112 0.017911 0.047136 0.126184 0.333861 0.938946